| The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season should be "very active," with nine hurricanes and a good chance that at least one major hurricane will hit the U.S. coast, a top researcher said Tuesday.
Forecaster William Gray expects 17 named storms in all this year, five of them major hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater.
The probability of a major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coast this year: 74 percent, compared with the average of 52 percent over the past century.
ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2007
|
Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000
Climatology (in parentheses) |
Issue Date
8 December 2006 |
Issue Date
3 April 2007 |
|
Named Storms (NS) (9.6) |
14 |
17 |
|
Named Storm Days (NSD) (49.1) |
70 |
85 |
|
Hurricanes (H) (5.9) |
7 |
9 |
|
Hurricane Days (HD) (24.5) |
35 |
40 |
|
Intense Hurricanes (IH) (2.3) |
3 |
5 |
|
Intense Hurricane Days (IHD) (5.0) |
8 |
11 |
|
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.2) |
130 |
170 |
|
Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC) (100%) |
140 |
185 |
|
